Can Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) Surprise This Earnings Season? - Analyst Blog


Hewlett-Packard Company ( HPQ ) is set to report fourth-quarter fiscal 2013 results on Nov 26. Last quarter, it posted a negative surprise of 1.15%. Let us see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Factors This Past Quarter

Hewlett-Packard posted dismal third-quarter results wherein both the top and bottom lines missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Moreover, the company witnessed revenue declines in every business segment barring the Software segment, which recorded a 1% increase in revenues on a year-over-year basis. Additionally, margin contractions also resulted in a year-over-year decline in net profit.

The company is reeling under pressure due to soft consumer demand in the PC industry. Moreover, pricing pressures in personal systems, printing and servers are expected to impact results. However, improvement in execution and better-than-expected demand for Hewlett-Packard's big data, security and cloud offerings are expected to provide some cushion to the top line.

Earnings Whispers?

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Hewlett-Packard is likely to beat earnings this quarter. A stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1, 2 or 3 to surpass earnings estimates. However, that is not the case here due to the following factors:

Zacks ESP: ESP for Hewlett-Packard is 0.00% since the Most Accurate estimate stands at $1.00 per share, which is in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate.

Zacks Rank: Hewlett-Packard's Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) when combined with a 0.00% ESP makes surprise prediction difficult.

We caution against stocks with Zacks Ranks #4 and 5 (Sell-rated stocks) going into the earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions momentum.

Other Stocks to Consider

Here are some other companies you may want to consider as our model shows that they have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter:

SanDisk Corp ( SNDK ), with Earnings ESP of +2.04 and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).

Micron Technology ( MU ), with Earnings ESP of +7.32% and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

Ingram Micro ( IM ), with Earnings ESP of +2.56% and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

HEWLETT PACKARD (HPQ): Free Stock Analysis Report

INGRAM MICRO (IM): Free Stock Analysis Report

MICRON TECH (MU): Free Stock Analysis Report

SANDISK CORP (SNDK): Free Stock Analysis Report

To read this article on click here.

Zacks Investment Research

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.

This article appears in: Investing , Business , Earnings , Stocks

Referenced Stocks: HPQ , IM , MU , SNDK

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