Biogen Idec
(
BIIB
) reported second quarter earnings per share of $1.82, well above
the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.56 and 34.8% above the year-ago
earnings of $1.35. Higher revenues boosted earnings. A lower share
count also contributed to the increase in earnings per share.
Second quarter 2012 revenues increased 17.6% to $1.4 billion.
Revenues were also well above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.3
billion. Avonex was a major contributor to the increase in
revenues.
Including one-time items, second quarter 2012 earnings increased
36.4% to $1.61 per share.
The Quarter in Detail
Second quarter Tysabri revenues remained flat at $280 million.
Tysabri revenues, however, declined 2.1% on a sequential basis.
Global in-market net revenues of Tysabri, which is partnered with
Elan Corp.
(
ELN
), came in at $395 million (up 2%) in the second quarter of 2012.
Revenues, however, were down 1% on a sequential basis. Tysabri
global revenues consisted of US revenues of $211 million and ROW
(Rest of the World) revenues of $184 million.
Biogen estimates that as of the end of June 2012, about 69,100
patients were on commercial and clinical Tysabri therapy worldwide.
This represents an increase from the 66,600 patients reported by
the company in the first quarter of 2012.
Tysabri's label has been updated so as to include anti-JC virus
antibody status as one potential factor that could help stratify
the risk of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML)
occurring in patients treated with Tysabri. Biogen is now in a
position to approach neurologists and provide the MS community with
more confidence when considering treatment options.
Meanwhile, we were pleased to see a significant improvement in
the performance of Avonex, Biogen's lead MS product. Avonex posted
second quarter revenues of $762 million (up 16%). On a sequential
basis, Avonex revenues were up 15.1%.
Biogen has been working on driving Avonex revenues. The company
launched Avonex Pen in the US earlier this year and said that
performance was strong in the second quarter of 2012. Avonex Pen
helps improve convenient administration. The rollout of Avonex Pen
in the EU and US should increase patient and physician interest in
Avonex.
We note that both Avonex and Tysabri are facing additional
competition in the form of
Novartis'
(
NVS
) Gilenya which was launched in early Oct 2010.
However, Biogen is looking to bring BG-12, its oral MS
candidate, to market in early 2013. The company reported impressive
data on the candidate, which is currently under US and EU review.
BG-12 could become a leader in the oral MS market once
launched.
Rituxan revenues increased 31% to $285 million in the second
quarter. Biogen and partner
Roche
(
RHHBY
) have been working on driving Rituxan growth by expanding the
label for additional indications.
Earnings Outlook Up
Biogen raised its earnings guidance for 2012. The company
expects earnings to exceed $6.20 per share on mid-single digit
revenue growth. The company was previously expecting earnings to
exceed $6.15 per share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2012 is
currently $6.15 per share.
While the company expects to spend 24% to 25% of total revenue
on R&D, SG&A spend is expected to be about 22% to 23% of
total revenue. As the company prepares for the potential launch of
BG-12 in early 2013, Biogen is investing in product positioning,
promotional planning, scientific outreach, patient support services
and supply chain.
Biogen has some important data read-outs lined up in the coming
months. These include data on the company's hemophilia candidates,
dexpramipexole for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis or Lou Gehrig's
disease and PEGylated interferon beta-1a for multiple
sclerosis.
The company also completed its $500 million share repurchase
program.
Neutral on Biogen
We currently have a Neutral recommendation on Biogen. The stock
carries a Zacks #2 Rank (short-term 'Buy' rating). The approval of
BG-12, potentially later this year/early next year, would be a
major boost for the stock.
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