Benefactors of the Housing Recovery - Investment Ideas

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Recent data suggests that a recovery in the housing sector is underway. Prices of homes may have only a little more to fall, interest rates are at record lows and falling unemployment all point to a resurgence in housing.
A sustained recovery sHousing hould help more names the just the home builders. The concerns over high inventory and the shadow inventory may actually serve to limit the gains home builders may make in the coming months. So investors may need to look elsewhere…

How else can investors participate in the expected recovery?  Here are a few other plays for investors looking to capitalize on the recovery in the housing sector.

Pier 1 ( PIR ) is specialty retailer of imported decorative home furnishings and is a Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy). As new homes are purchased, retailers like Pier 1 imports stand to benefit from new furnishings such as lamps, tables, décor or other accessories.
Analysts have highly accurate in predicting the earnings from PIR with the company meeting the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters. What has driven the stock price of late has been the higher earnings estimates.  In the same way, Bed Bath & Beyond ( BBBY ) a Zacks #2 Rank (Buy) can be expected to participate in the recovery. BBBY stock has gained 30% over the last year and a string of positive earnings surprises over the past year.

Another way to play the expected recovery are the companies that will benefit from people trying to prepare their homes for a sale in the coming year. Along with regular maintenance, last minute repairs ( to homes for sale are likely to help companies like Beacon Roofing Supply ( BECN ).  Beacon Roofing supply is a Zanks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stock and has seen two straight positive earnings surprises. BECN is reporting earnings this week and has not seen a change to this quarters Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last 90 days. This bodes well for a positive earnings surprise. It's also not the center of publicity like a Lowes or Home Depot, which can give early investors an edge on the herd.

Finally there is the information angle that can be played. As people look for the homes they want to buy, they will likely try to find a mortgage or at least a gage what their mortgage rate should be. For this information, consumers could go to Zacks #2 Rank (Buy) Bankrate ( RATE ).  Bankrate provides interest rate information to consumers that are looking for mortgages, CD's and credit cards. Mortgage providers will advertise on this site in hopes of converting an interest rate shopper into a customer.  Bankrate has only two earnings reports since its recent IPO, but has notched one positive earnings surprise. With a 29x forward PE multiple, its clear the market is expecting more beats in the future. Future surprises are likely to drive the stock price higher.

On the more speculative side of the information play on the housing recovery is Zillow ( Z ). As a Zack #3 Rank (Hold) this is a more cautious pick, and it too hasn't been public that long.  Zillow operates an online real estate information marketplace. The Zillow database holds information on 100 million homes and offers a "Zestimate" or estimated price for residential properties. The company earns revenue via advertising and subscriptions by realtors who wish to be associated with specific zip codes.  Of late, Zillow has moved significantly higher, gaining more than 38% since the beginning of the year. The company reports earning after the close on Febrauary 15, 2012 and guided investors on its last conference call to expect more investment and revenue to be below last quarters levels.

As consumers search for their homes on Zillow, they may then turn to Bankrate to see if they have a good interest rate. Sellers will likely be fixing up their roofs before any sales are made this spring. Finally, new home purchases are likely to be followed up by new furnishings from Bed Bay & Beyond and Pier 1.


 
BED BATH&BEYOND ( BBBY ): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
BEACON ROOFING ( BECN ): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
PIER 1 IMPORTS ( PIR ): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.



This article appears in: Investing , Investing Ideas , Stocks

Referenced Stocks: BBBY , BECN , PIR

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