Let's face it. As if it wasn't bad enough trying to compare the
performance of the world's biggest banks side-by-side, it is now
getting more difficult to even compare the performance of a single
bank over consequent periods. And while huge differences in the way
different banks report their figures is to blame for the former, it
is easy to zero in on the reason for the latter - the debt
valuation adjustment (
DVA
) accounting rules which the banks have been employing for a few
years now. By its very nature, the DVA is extremely volatile,
boosting a bank's income statement by billions of dollars one
quarter and pushing it deep into the red the very next quarter. As
a result, the underlying operating performance of a bank's trading
division is lost under heavy accounting profits and losses often
leading to misleading conclusions.
In this article, we highlight the extent to which results at the
country's biggest investment banks - Goldman Sachs (
GS
),
JPMorgan
(
JPM
), Morgan Stanley (
MS
),
Bank of America-Merrill Lynch
(
MS
) and Citigroup (
C
) - have been affected by accounting for DVA over the last few
quarters.
See the full Trefis analysis for Goldman Sachs |
JPMorgan
| Morgan Stanley | Bank of America
| Citigroup
Understanding DVA: The Advantages & The
Pitfalls
The accounting rule of debt valuation adjustment was adopted in
2007 to give investors a better understanding of the value of a
company's debt at a given time. As credit spreads change over a
period, a company's outstanding debt securities appreciate or
depreciate. So, it definitely makes sense to convey to investors
the amount of actual change in the value of debt by marking it to
market.
Now, as debt is essentially a liability for a company, if the
value of the debt in the market decreases, this would mean the
company owes less money to its debt holders in notional terms. So,
the accounting rule allows the company to report this difference as
a gain in the income statement. Similarly, an appreciation in the
value of debt means the company has to report the difference as a
loss in the income statement.
The problem here is quite evident. Ironically, the rule found
immediate takers among the financial institutions as the economic
downturn was already upon the industry. With the financial sector
being hit the hardest in 2008, the value of their debt plummeted in
the market. And the banks were only too happy to report huge
profits on these declines to boost their income statement over
quarters when their operating incomes had turned negative.
But then, bad times don't tend to linger for too long.
The Situation As It Stands Now
It should be evident here that whenever the global debt market
improves, banks are going to include a loss from DVA in their
income statements. How much? The table below based on quarterly
figures announced by the country's Big Five helps answer that
question:
| ($ million) |
|
Q1'11
|
Q2'11
|
Q3'11
|
Q4'11
|
|
Q1'12
|
Q2'12
|
Q3'12
|
Q4'12
|
|
FY'11
|
FY'12
|
| Morgan Stanley |
|
-189 |
244 |
3,410 |
216 |
|
-1,978 |
350 |
-2,262 |
151 |
|
3,681 |
-4,401 |
| Citigroup |
|
-229 |
147 |
1,888 |
-74 |
|
-1,376 |
198 |
-799 |
-510 |
|
1,732 |
-2,487 |
| Bank of America |
|
-657 |
423 |
1,709 |
-474 |
|
-1,434 |
-156 |
-582 |
-276 |
|
1,001 |
-2,448 |
| JPMorgan |
|
-46 |
165 |
1,900 |
-567 |
|
-907 |
765 |
-211 |
-567 |
|
1,452 |
-920 |
| Goldman Sachs |
|
41 |
85 |
450 |
20 |
|
-224 |
6 |
-370 |
-126 |
|
596 |
-714 |
Morgan Stanley stands out among the banks for the sheer
magnitude of DVA related gains/losses over two consecutive years -
benefiting from a $3.7 billion gain in 2011 and losing $4.4 billion
in 2012. This would cloud one's understanding of how well Morgan
Stanley's trading business is actually doing as the figures would
be bloated or impaired by a significant value each quarter.
A better idea of the impact can be obtained from the chart
below, which shows Morgan Stanley's fixed-income trading yield.
Using the reported revenues from the fixed-income trading desk each
year, we arrive at a yield figure of 2.81% for 2011 and the
significantly lower 1.07% in 2012. The intuitive conclusion here
would be that the bank's trading performance was dismal in 2012,
considering the trading portfolio size remained nearly
constant.
This couldn't be farther from the truth as fixed-income trading
revenues for 2012 were $5.6 billion compared to $4.4 billion in
2011 - without the impact of DVA, of course. And this discrepancy
propagates all the way to the bottom line.
Maybe it's time the DVA accounting rule was modified to ensure
that the figures each bank reports give details about changes in
the value of debt while not messing up with the income statement
itself.
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