Alpari Grain Outlook 12/07

By International Business Times December 07, 2012, 06:10:53 PM EDT

Thursday's weekly export sales report, our strongest weekly demand indicator, came out with one surprise, beans. Bean export sales last week were 1.142 million metric tons versus the four week prior of 319, 543, 559, and 186 thousand metric tons. The pre-report estimates were for 600 thousand metric tons total. Though China's numbers were measurably higher, the last time we sold over 1.0 million metric tons was the October 4th report at 1.296 million metric tons with China in for 1.025 of the total. So the measure of price strength from the Chinese commitment was muted. This had beans rally up 13 cents then turn down on the day by midsession. In other words, it wasn't as bullish as one would think, as the Chinese number is actually more important to traders than the total number. Reason being other countries who bought the difference over China are not regular or weekly buyers and probably won't show up on near-term export reports. Bean planting is at 90% complete in Brazil, the world's number two world producer exporter.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Commodities

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