After financial stocks posted unimpressive second quarter
earnings, I dished out a list of
famous financial stocks to sell
. A number of these companies have bounced back recently,
however, as the stock market got some spring in its step in
September - for instance,
Bank of America
) is up over +3% in the past week, and
) is up almost +5%.
But don't be fooled by this recent bounce. These short-term
returns are merely a product of a broader rally and I expect many
financials to continue lagging the market in the months ahead.
High foreclosure rates and low lending rates are acting against
the big banks, and there are no two ways about it.
That's why I want you to sell the following 11 famous
financial stocks into strength immediately, and get out while the
getting is good.
Banco Santander (
Operating in Europe and the U.S. but also Latin America,
) is a financial stock some investors have jumped into for its
emerging market potential. But over the past nine months, STD is
down -22% compared to the broader markets which have remained
even. And since September of 2009, the stock has dropped
-18%. A growth estimate of -62% this year is far from
enticing, and while Banco Santander has bounced back slightly
from its 52-week low of $8.65 in June, it clear that this
financial stock is still underperforming.
Bank of America (
If you haven't already sold
Bank of America
) stock by this point, then you're probably willing to hang on
despite this company's much publicized shortcomings. However,
I'll do my best to convince you BAC is not a value investment but
a money pit. Here goes: Year-to-date, BAC has slid -7%, and is a
far cry from 2007 highs - a whopping -72% to be exact. Once
trading around $52, this financial stock now trades at
$13.94. And if 2010's numbers are any indication, there is
no help in sight for BAC. Experts are projecting EPS of
$0.18, despite posting EPS of $0.27 last quarter. That's not a
good sign for growth.
) may be a big name in the banking industry, but its stock has
been anything but impressive over the last 12 months. Since
last September, Barclays has skidded -18%. Likewise, the stock
has fallen -6% over the last six months, causing concern for
shareholders. A growth estimate of -61% for this year is
another reason why Barclays is a financial stock to sell.
Life Insurance (
As its name would suggest,
China Life Insurance Co
) offers a wide range of insurance services in Beijing. China
stocks have hit a wall in 2010, and LFC stock has fallen -19% in
kind. In the second quarter, China Life attributed its -27%
profit drop to "market uncertainty." An odd line from the world's
top life insurer by market value and a giant in one of the
world's most populous countries. The company has lost -12% since
last September, and China Life Insurance is a stock that
should definitely be avoided.
Like other companies on this list,
) has had a misleading 2010. Over the past nine months
Citigroup's stock has gained +20.7%. However, this rise in price
is overshadowed by the fact that the stock is still down -13.3%
over the past 12 months and dramatically from 2007 highs. Experts
have scaled back their earnings estimates, projecting EPS of just
seven cents this quarter after an actual EPS of nine cents last
quarter. While Citigroup stock may appear to be gaining
momentum as of late, it is still facing an uphill battle and
should thus be avoided.
) has watched its stock drop -9%, significantly worse than a flat
Dow. Numbers aren't much better over the past 12 months, as
the stock is down -4.7%. Like other banking stocks on this
list, times have been tough since October 2007. Since that
time, HSBC has dropped -$ -43.6%. With a stock price of
just $52.15, shareholders are longing for the days of 2007, when
the stock was near $100 per share but will likely not see that
valuation for a very long time.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (
Securities and investment management company
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
) has also fallen on hard times as of late. Year-to-date,
Goldman's stock has slipped -8.7%, compared to the broader
markets which have remained close to even. Since last
September, the stock has dropped -11.8%, so the problems at
Goldman are not new. Additionally, GS underperformed
earnings estimates by nearly -63%. Goldman reported EPS of
$0.78, after experts projected EPS of $2.08. All these
factors, as well as the chance the that the legendary GS
proprietary trading unit may be deep sixed due to new SEC rules,
makes Goldman Sachs an expensive stock to avoid.
JP Morgan Chase (
Compared to other financial stocks on this list,
JP Morgan Chase
) has not had a disastrous year. That being said, JPM's
2010 has been far from successful. Over the past nine
months, JP Morgan has dropped -2%, compared to the broader
markets which have remained even. Since last September, the
stock is down -3%. Experts do not appear to be thrilled
with the stock's performance either, projecting EPS of just $0.89
next quarter, despite EPS of $1.09 last quarter. Things
could be worse for this financial stock, yet it still remains a
stock to sell.
Working primarily in the UK,
Lloyds Banking Group
) provides a range of banking and financial services to its
clients. This financial stock has done well in 2010, up
+46% year-to-date. However, the stock still remains a shell
of its former self with a stock price of just $4.78 and I'm not
convinced that the upward momentum can continue much longer.
There need to be wholesale improvements in lending, employment,
foreclosures and consumer spending before gains like that will
stick for any financial company. Get out of Lloyds while the
getting is good.
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (
Royal Bank of Scotland Group
) is another banking stock that at first glance seems to have had
recent success. In 2010, the stock has climbed nearly
+63%. While the first nine months of 2010 may have been
kind to this financial stock, the last year has not.
Despite the gain, RBS is still down -17% over the past
year. Likewise, the stock is down an incredible -93% over
the past five years. It's -8.3% profit margin in its last
income statement is hardly a selling point - unless it is
investors that need to be doing the selling.
Wells Fargo & Co. (
Diversified Financial service company
) is another big-name financial stock worth selling. Since
mid May, WFC's stock price has fallen -19.9%, or $6.54. In
fact, its been some time since Wells Fargo maintained any real
financial growth, having dropped -11.8% over the past five years.
More recently, WFC has disappointed stock holders by missing
earnings estimates three of the last four quarters. This
has caused experts to predict EPS of $0.54 this quarter after an
EPS of $0.55 last quarter. Add a quarterly earnings growth
of -3.5% into the equation, and Wells Fargo is a financial stock
As of this writing, Louis Navellier did not own a position
in any of the stocks named here.
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